Category Archives: Cheltenham Festival 2017
1.30 Shattered Love EW
2.10 Acapella Bourgeois
2.50 Tombstone and also an each way on Hawk High who looks big at 33/1
3.30 God’s Own EW
4.10 Cantlow NAP
4.50 Diable De Sivola EW
5.30 Irish Roe EW
There are three here worth a small stake EW Patent – Hawk High, Diable De Sivola, and Irish Roe are all 33/1
I won’t bore you with the workings
Bet them each way except Melon (Skybet offer cash back on all losers in the 1.30 up to £20 stake which is returned as a free bet)
Don’t put too much on
Enjoy the racing
1.30 Melon 3/1 Freely available
2.10 Charbel 12/1 Betvictor/Betfair/Power
2.50 Singlefarmpayment NAP 15/2 Freely available
3.30 Brain Power 7/1 Freely available
4.10 DebDebDeb 150/1 Hills/ Betvictor/Power
4.50 Bells N Banjos 66/1 Betway
5.30 Captain Redbeard 22/1 Power/Betfair/Betway
Charbel is superb antepost value at 33/1 for The Arkle chase at the Cheltenham Festival. He’s due to face Altior on Saturday and that one beat him easily in the Supreme, where Charbel finished 5th. But Charbel looks to me a more natural jumper of fences than Altior and I’ve backed him in the Henry VIII on Saturday.
The form of Charbel’s debut win has been strengthened by Top Notch who was 3rd to him at Uttoxeter and has won his next two. Runner-up Le Prezien won a Grade 2 next time out.
I think 33s (William Hill) is way too big. His trainer says the JLT might also come into the picture so I’ve had a saver at 75 on Betfair for that, but he looks a two-miler. I still hold to the belief that Altior’s jumping might let him down and he’ll be rerouted to the Champion Hurdle. If you want a related-contingency bet that is without penalty, you can bet Altior at 33s and Charbel at 25s in a double with Paddy Power.
The usual warning applies: antepost betting is hazardous. Much can happen between now and raceday (though that works both ways), and if your horse doesn’t run, your stake is lost. Bet for fun and beware of tipsters who promise the earth,
A thirty-grand two-mile handicap chase at Cheltenham today and Fox Norton could be called the winner well before they turned down the hill: he was absolutely tanking along. He threw some athletic, energetic leaps, even late in the race and his handicap mark should go up at least 10lbs to 156. That would still leave him a fair bit short of the mark of a normal Champion Chase winner, but he’s only 6 and looks to have come on a ton since last year.
Douvan is 1/1 fav for the Champion Chase just now, but given what can happen between now and then plus Willie’s penchant for changing a horse’s target, I think 50/1 Fox Norton is a good value bet to keep you warm between now and March.
His form suggests he might benefit substantially from a long rest between races and Nick Williams, who used to train him said early last year that he doesn’t want too much racing. Yet, he had a busy season, and finished 3rd in The Arkle.
Also, it might be that proper good ground is important to him and Cheltenham will open on good to soft at best, as it always does (the Champion Chase is on day 2).
Still, a wee bet at 50s represents value, even with those caveats. And, going by my experience, a wee bet is all you will get at 50/1. The only established bookmaker displaying that price is Bet365 who offered me a maximum of £2.50 ( yes, £2.50, not £25.00).