Charbel fine value at 33s in The Arkle

jockey_club_logoCharbel is superb antepost value at 33/1 for The Arkle chase at the Cheltenham Festival. He’s due to face Altior on Saturday and that one beat him easily in the Supreme, where Charbel finished 5th. But Charbel looks to me a more natural jumper of fences than Altior and I’ve backed him in the Henry VIII on Saturday.

The form of Charbel’s debut win has been strengthened by Top Notch who was 3rd to him at Uttoxeter and has won his next two. Runner-up Le Prezien won a Grade 2 next time out.

I think 33s (William Hill) is way too big. His trainer says the JLT might also come into the picture so I’ve had a saver at 75 on Betfair for that, but he looks a two-miler. I still hold to the belief that Altior’s jumping might let him down and he’ll be rerouted to the Champion Hurdle. If you want a related-contingency bet that is without penalty, you can bet Altior at 33s and Charbel at 25s in a double with Paddy Power.

The usual warning applies: antepost betting is hazardous. Much can happen between now and raceday (though that works both ways), and if your horse doesn’t run, your stake is lost.  Bet for fun and beware of tipsters who promise the earth,

Good luck

Joe

About Steeplechasing

Writer, horse-racing fan, cyclist, consultant, entrepreneur. Worked at Aintree, SiS, The Tote, Ladbrokes. Created scoop6. Now run Gamtrain Ltd

Posted on December 1, 2016, in Cheltenham Festival 2017 and tagged . Bookmark the permalink. 2 Comments.

  1. Can’t be having Charbel for the Arkle.
    Do not believe it would beat Top Notch again.
    Altior different class if he continues to jump well.
    Although I can see Min going for the JLT so a place is poss, but would not be inclined personally.

    • Altior has a fine engine and I would not normally oppose him, but he does not jump as well as many claim. While not quite as bad as the ill-fated Simonsig, he showed signs last time of leaving his backend too low. Might have been a one-off, but I’ll watch him again tomorrow. Sandown will be as good a test as any. He might jump impeccably or might win despite his jumping. We’ll see.

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