Cue Card now looking a very strong bet for King George

binocularsThe victory of Bobs Worth in the Hennessy Gold Cup franked the form of Cue Card who had failed by just a short head to give that top class horse half a stone at Newbury last season over 2m 4f. Some say Cue Card would have won that day had his jockey not looked round after the last fence.

Cue Card went on to run 2nd in the Arkle to the brilliant Sprinter Sacre who beat the Tizzard horse 7 lengths. But  Cue Card was 22 lengths clear of the third, Menorah with Al Ferof (who’d made a bad mistake) back in fourth. Sprinter Sacre’s astounding performance at Sandown yesterday forged a gold edged seal on that Arkle form.

First time out this season Cue Card won the Haldon Gold Cup over an extended 2 miles 1 furlong, by 27 lengths. Best Mate won the Haldon Gold Cup by 20 lengths the year before he won his King George.

Cue Card has won over 19f on soft ground at Newbury and over 20f on good at Chepstow where he comfortably beat fellow chasing debutant Silvianaco Conti.

Cue Card can be a tricky ride; he dislikes restraint and often has to make is own running. The hot pace of the King George should suit although it will also test his stamina on his first attempt at 24 furlongs. His jumping, touch wood, is pretty sound these days though, like Sprinter Scare, he is not always straight in the air – there can be a degree of lateral movement which sometimes leads to him screwing slightly on landing.

Still, I would say he has the most solid form in the race. I fear Al Ferof and have had a saver on him, but the 7/1 about Cue Card holds strong appeal. The race is definitely his target according to his trainer and unless a training mishap derails him, he will be there on the day. I suspect, by then, the 7/1 will have shrunk to 11/2.

Bearing in mind that ante-post bets are losers if your selection does not run, some might be willing to sacrifice a point or two in price and wait for the day.

If you decide to back him for the King George, you’d be as well having a small bet at 33s for the Cheltenham Gold Cup too. If he wins well at Kempton he might drop to a single figure price for the festival showpiece.

Good luck

WarnedOff

 

 

About Steeplechasing

Writer, horse-racing fan, cyclist, consultant, entrepreneur. Worked at Aintree, SiS, The Tote, Ladbrokes. Created scoop6. Now run Gamtrain Ltd

Posted on December 9, 2012, in Big races, Cheltenham festival 2013, Value bets and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink. 3 Comments.

  1. What are your thoughts on Sizing Europe, Joe? Non stayer, past his best?

    • Hi Aaron, I like Sizing Europe and have done since I saw him win the Greatwood Hurdle in horrible ground. After that I backed him pretty heavily for the Champion Hurdle at good prices. It’s history now that he went wrong late in the race – a painful sight for me and many of his supporters. I’ve won my money back since and I still follow him. I think he’s probably a bit too old to mix it with the best. His connections will be in a quandary now that Sprinter Scare looks nailed on for the QM. They’d been fairly bullish about challenging for the King George but the trainer seems to be backtracking a bit now from that.

      It could be a very hot Ryanair with Cue Card and Al Ferof among a few others likely to go for it so I don’t know what they will choose for SE. Given that the QM will be down to a handful of runners, they might be best going for that again; he’d pick up £80,000 for finishing 2nd and if they ride him for that position, they might get a race out of him at Aintree or Punchestown.
      Joe

  2. I, too, have followed Sizing Europe. However it was the race afterwards (Irish Champion Hurdle I believe) that excited me about him. And he has won me a few quid in the past. However, I have never been convinced that he stays 3 miles. His last two appearances, though, have made me start to believe that in his older age it may suit him better.

    I think that this year’s King George looks a fascinating race, with some really interesting horses in it, some that I like a lot. However, I don’t believe that 3 miles at Kempton is quite as easy to get as everyone seems to think, and there are a hell of a lot of potential non stayers in the race this year. Long Run is the only horse in the top six in the betting to have won at 3m or further, but he has only won once in his last five runs (and I though Geraghty could have got to him if he’d really pushed Burton Port in that race). Which leaves me really questioning where I want to put my money.

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